neargotchi.nearlytrade.near
Risk score: Low 20 / 100 issued 2026-11-09 16:21 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0
v1 — weights fitted on launch history. The score ranks risk; it is not a probability. Calibration in progress. Computed from what was known at launch time and frozen: it never changes. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 37 % (312 launches) (as of the card's issue time, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 64 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-10T16:21 UTC with config v1-fit-1.
| Launched | 2026-11-09 16:21:57 UTC · block 223791207 · live |
|---|---|
| Transaction | 6vkT1Cd1Kztnz…DyGdD |
| Creator | neargotchiai.near explorer |
| Pool | ainear.nearlyops.near|neargotchi.nearlytrade.near|10000 |
| Dev buy | 0.00 NEAR |
| Tax options | buy 2.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 35.00% |
73 out of 100 · formula ls-2 · the mean of the four parts below · how it is built
| Buyers in profit | 71 | 73 of 103 outside buyers |
|---|---|---|
| Buy pressure | 100 | buys 77.80 NEAR · sells 0.00 NEAR in the last 60 min |
| Price vs peak | 74 | the last price against the highest price since the launch |
| Activity | 46 | 3 different buyers in the last 60 min (100 from 20) |
| Last trade | 2026-11-13 19:57 UTC |
|---|---|
| Price now | 7.75x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.74x the peak |
| Outside buyers in profit | 73 of 103 · 70.9% |
| Last 15 min | 1 buys (4.94 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Last 60 min | 3 buys (77.80 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Buyers in the last hour | 3 |
| Dev account | 0% · 0 of 1 hold |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 0.2% · 2 of 6 hold |
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
| Metric | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+30 min | T+60 min | T+24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100.0% |
| Dev's first sell after launch | — | — | — | — | 1052.9 min |
| Buyers (other than the insiders) | 7 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 42 |
| Buyers spent | 25.34 NEAR | 46.31 NEAR | 217.31 NEAR | 384.44 NEAR | 1,066.43 NEAR |
| Buyers net result | +1.07 NEAR | +1.13 NEAR | +30.55 NEAR | +67.23 NEAR | -20.07 NEAR |
| Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Insiders sold (share of what they acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100.0% |
| Insiders' net result | +0.88 NEAR | +1.81 NEAR | +14.70 NEAR | +23.42 NEAR | +20.51 NEAR |
| Highest price vs first buyer | 1.12x | 1.14x | 1.50x | 1.79x | 2.41x |
| Holders | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 33 |
| Top 10 holders' share | 100% | 100% | 100% | 94.5% | 98.4% |
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
| Holder | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+60 min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dev account | 3.5% · holds | 3.5% · holds | 3.5% · holds |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — | — | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 0.7% · 3 of 6 hold | 0.5% · 1 of 6 hold | 0.5% · 1 of 6 hold |
| Other early buyers | 1.4% · 1 of 1 hold | 3.1% · 3 of 3 hold | 19.9% · 15 of 15 hold |
| All early buyers (the six rows above) | 2.0% · 7 wallets | 3.6% · 9 wallets | 20.4% · 21 wallets |
| Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers) | 94.4% | 92.8% | 76.1% |
| Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets) | 100% | 100% | 94.5% |
| Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder | 100% · 0 merged | 100% · 0 merged | 94.5% · 0 merged |
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
| # | Wallet | After the launch | Spent | First sell | Net result at T+60 | Links (recorded transfers and trades) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jopka.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 3.0 min after buying · transaction | -0.03 NEAR |
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 2 | trade.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 3.0 min after buying · transaction | -0.03 NEAR |
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 72 of 129 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 3 | yazaplakal.send….near trading bot wallet | 3 s · transaction | 0.50 NEAR | 5.0 min after buying · transaction | +0.03 NEAR |
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 4 | dolph.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 3.0 min after buying · transaction | -0.03 NEAR |
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 212 of 335 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 5 | c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 trading bot developer | 3 s · transaction | 5.99 NEAR | not sold | +3.29 NEAR |
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 6 | b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent sniper | 8 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 5.1 min after buying · transaction | +0.05 NEAR |
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 734 of 1047 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 7 | 9f1476c4855e2ba…59558 | 62 s · transaction | 14.84 NEAR | not sold | +9.78 NEAR | none found |
| 8 | 707425fe48e822b…18593 | 10.1 min · transaction | 1.98 NEAR | not sold | +1.02 NEAR | none found |
| 9 | flatfile5243.near | 13.5 min · transaction | 19.00 NEAR | not sold | +9.24 NEAR | none found |
| 10 | narrownook4299.near | 16.9 min · transaction | 66.00 NEAR | not sold | +16.50 NEAR | none found |
| 11 | vikin.near | 18.1 min · transaction | 30.00 NEAR | 21.2 min after buying · transaction | +9.02 NEAR | none found |
| 12 | toxic_sentinel.….near | 19.6 min · transaction | 40.00 NEAR | 19.9 min after buying · transaction | +3.35 NEAR | none found |
| 13 | talltie4153.near | 27.1 min · transaction | 40.00 NEAR | not sold | +8.48 NEAR | none found |
| 14 | ba39b85a18da02e…20ee1 | 30.0 min · transaction | 40.00 NEAR | not sold | +5.45 NEAR | none found |
| 15 | 5a372e0371cf7f9…2e73b | 32.1 min · transaction | 13.13 NEAR | not sold | +0.66 NEAR | none found |
| 16 | 6ac114605e4024d…bf6fc | 35.4 min · transaction | 32.00 NEAR | not sold | +0.91 NEAR | none found |
| 17 | coldpant65.near | 36.4 min · transaction | 0.50 NEAR | 2.9 min after buying · transaction | +0.0034 NEAR | none found |
| 18 | 17bd0cfed301035…f2521 | 37.4 min · transaction | 27.00 NEAR | not sold | -0.52 NEAR | none found |
| 19 | mikpik69.near | 38.6 min · transaction | 19.00 NEAR | not sold | -0.98 NEAR | none found |
| 20 | 4ebed09f1b33df7…9866d | 40.9 min · transaction | 30.00 NEAR | not sold | +1.06 NEAR | none found |
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.
None known.