nearusd.nearlytrade.near
Risk score: Low 20 / 100 issued 2026-11-10 22:42 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0
v1 — weights fitted on launch history. The score ranks risk; it is not a probability. Calibration in progress. Computed from what was known at launch time and frozen: it never changes. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 33 % (267 launches) (as of the card's issue time, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 0.22 NEAR.
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-11T22:42 UTC with config v2l-1.
| Launched | 2026-11-10 22:42:10 UTC · block 223980134 · live |
|---|---|
| Transaction | EHEMJj3X6oeTu…dHkwF |
| Creator | amir1366t.near explorer |
| Pool | nearusd.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000 |
| Dev buy | 3.00 NEAR |
| Tax options | buy 1.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 100.00% |
No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-10 22:48 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.
| Last trade | 2026-11-10 22:48 UTC |
|---|---|
| Price now | 0.98x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.97x the peak |
| Outside buyers in profit | 0 of 5 · 0% |
| Last 15 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Last 60 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Buyers in the last hour | 0 |
| Dev account | 0% · 0 of 1 hold |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 0% · 0 of 5 hold |
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
| Metric | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+30 min | T+60 min | T+24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired) | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Dev's first sell after launch | — | 6.8 min | 6.8 min | 6.8 min | 6.8 min |
| Buyers (other than the insiders) | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Buyers spent | 4.50 NEAR | 4.50 NEAR | 4.50 NEAR | 4.50 NEAR | 4.50 NEAR |
| Buyers net result | -0.18 NEAR | -0.22 NEAR | -0.22 NEAR | -0.22 NEAR | -0.22 NEAR |
| Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Insiders sold (share of what they acquired) | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Insiders' net result | -0.07 NEAR | -0.15 NEAR | -0.15 NEAR | -0.15 NEAR | -0.15 NEAR |
| Highest price vs first buyer | 1.01x | 1.01x | 1.01x | 1.01x | 1.01x |
| Holders | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Top 10 holders' share | 100% | — | — | — | — |
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
| Holder | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+60 min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dev account | 0.3% · holds | 0% · holds nothing | 0% · holds nothing |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — | — | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 0.1% · 2 of 5 hold | 0% · 0 of 5 hold | 0% · 0 of 5 hold |
| Other early buyers | — | — | — |
| All early buyers (the six rows above) | 0.1% · 5 wallets | 0% · 5 wallets | 0% · 5 wallets |
| Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers) | 99.6% | 100% | 100% |
| Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets) | 100% | — | — |
| Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder | 100% · 0 merged | — | — |
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
| # | Wallet | After the launch | Spent | First sell | Net result at T+60 | Links (recorded transfers and trades) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | yazaplakal.send….near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 0.50 NEAR | 5.0 min after buying · transaction | -0.02 NEAR |
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 2 | trade.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 3.0 min after buying · transaction | -0.05 NEAR |
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 72 of 129 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 3 | dolph.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 3.0 min after buying · transaction | -0.05 NEAR |
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 212 of 335 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 4 | c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 5.1 min after buying · transaction | -0.05 NEAR |
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 5 | jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 3.0 min after buying · transaction | -0.05 NEAR |
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
|
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.
| Time | Launchpad | Token | Risk | Outcome | Data |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 22:59 UTC | nearly.trade | shear.nearlytrade.near | 20 Low retro | no rug | history: launch only |
| 2026-09-26 19:44 UTC | nearly.trade | chadly.nearlytrade.near | 20 Low retro | no rug | history: launch only |
| 2026-09-27 20:48 UTC | nearly.trade | print.nearlytrade.near | 20 Low retro | no rug | history: launch only |
| 2026-09-27 21:01 UTC | nearly.trade | shearly.nearlytrade.near | 20 Low retro | no rug | history: launch only |
| 2026-09-28 12:22 UTC | nearly.trade | rekt.nearlytrade.near | 20 Low retro | no rug | history: launch only |
| 2026-09-28 12:23 UTC | nearly.trade | rekt-2.nearlytrade.near | 20 Low retro | rug | history: launch only |
| 2026-10-11 21:34 UTC | nearly.trade | qnc.nearlytrade.near | 20 Low retro | no rug | history: launch only |
| 2026-10-11 21:39 UTC | nearly.trade | swolf.nearlytrade.near | 20 Low retro | no rug | history: launch only |
| 2026-10-31 02:35 UTC | nearly.trade | lebrel.nearlytrade.near | 20 Low retro | no rug | live |
| 2026-11-10 19:00 UTC | nearly.trade | 2way.nearlytrade.near | 20 Low | no rug | live |
| 2026-11-10 19:10 UTC | nearly.trade | lolopo.nearlytrade.near | 20 Low | no rug | live |
| 2026-11-11 16:13 UTC | nearly.trade | naked.nearlytrade.near | 30 Low | no rug | live |