REKT nearly.trade

rekt.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

  • +20
    Trade tax 0.00% buy / 2.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 65.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 0, sell_bps 200, creator_bps 6500).

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 3 % (310 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 97 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 102.3% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Sold by: amir1366t.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-09-28 20:07:37 UTC, 464.6 min after the launch: 3g2mGQCTLe4kJ…soPyu.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -0.25 NEAR · insiders' net result: -0.03 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 97% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-09-28 12:22:59 UTC · block 217631445 · history: launch only
TransactionBvzcoYB4mDFkJ…Bmfa8
Creatoramir1366t.near explorer
Poolrekt.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy1.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 0.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 65.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:48 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-09-28 20:07 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-09-28 20:07 UTC
Price now0.97x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.97x the peak
Outside buyers in profit0 of 3 · 0%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side<0.01% · 1 of 1 hold
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0% · 0 of 2 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%0%0%102.3%
Dev's first sell after launch————464.6 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)23333
Buyers spent5.50 NEAR6.30 NEAR6.30 NEAR6.30 NEAR6.30 NEAR
Buyers net result+0.03 NEAR-0.20 NEAR-0.23 NEAR-0.23 NEAR-0.25 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%0%0%102.3%
Insiders' net result+0.01 NEAR+0.0030 NEAR-0.03 NEAR-0.03 NEAR-0.03 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.01x1.01x1.01x1.01x1.01x
Holders44333
Top 10 holders' share100%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0.1% · holds 0.1% · holds 0.1% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — 0.1% · 1 of 1 hold 0.1% · 1 of 1 hold
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 0.5% · 2 of 2 hold 0.0% · 1 of 2 hold 0% · 0 of 2 hold
Other early buyers — — —
All early buyers (the six rows above)0.5% · 2 wallets0.1% · 3 wallets0.1% · 3 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)99.4%99.8%99.8%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 3 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 x0xdead.near 28 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR 5.1 min after buying · transaction -0.19 NEAR
2 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b 33 s · transaction 0.50 NEAR 21.2 min after buying · transaction -0.02 NEAR
3 0xtrt.near 10.9 min · transaction 0.80 NEAR not sold -0.01 NEAR
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of amir1366t.near

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-09-24 22:59 UTC nearly.trade shear.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-26 19:44 UTC nearly.trade chadly.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-27 20:48 UTC nearly.trade print.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-27 21:01 UTC nearly.trade shearly.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 12:23 UTC nearly.trade rekt-2.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-10-11 21:34 UTC nearly.trade qnc.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-11 21:39 UTC nearly.trade swolf.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-31 02:35 UTC nearly.trade lebrel.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug live
2026-11-10 19:00 UTC nearly.trade 2way.nearlytrade.near 20 Low no rug live
2026-11-10 19:10 UTC nearly.trade lolopo.nearlytrade.near 20 Low no rug live
2026-11-10 22:42 UTC nearly.trade nearusd.nearlytrade.near 20 Low rug live
2026-11-11 16:13 UTC nearly.trade naked.nearlytrade.near 30 Low no rug live