NPT nearly.trade

npt-2.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 25 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

  • +20
    Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 20.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 100, sell_bps 100, creator_bps 2000).
    Evidence: launch npt-2.nearlytrade.near
  • +5
    The name 'npt' was already used 32.3 h earlier by another creator (npt.nearlytrade.near).
    Evidence: launch npt.nearlytrade.near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 24 % (2591 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 0% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Outside buyers' net result: -2.42 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.24 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 88% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-10-11 13:14:15 UTC · block 219528795 · history: launch only
Transaction6coYsJULBDF8n…BDZDX
Creatorcryptovn21.tg explorer
Poolnpt-2.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy10.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 20.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:47 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade2026-10-11 20:13 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0 · no trade seen in our live data
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%0%0%0%
Dev's first sell after launch—————
Buyers (other than the insiders)1212121212
Buyers spent81.18 NEAR81.18 NEAR81.18 NEAR81.18 NEAR81.18 NEAR
Buyers net result-1.77 NEAR-2.11 NEAR-2.19 NEAR-2.24 NEAR-2.42 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%0%0%0%
Insiders' net result+0.45 NEAR+0.34 NEAR+0.31 NEAR+0.30 NEAR+0.24 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.16x1.16x1.16x1.16x1.16x
Holders64465
Top 10 holders' share100%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0.9% · holds 0.9% · holds 0.9% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 2.7% · 5 of 12 hold 2.4% · 3 of 12 hold 2.3% · 2 of 12 hold
Other early buyers — — —
All early buyers (the six rows above)2.7% · 12 wallets2.4% · 12 wallets2.3% · 12 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)96.4%96.7%96.8%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 1 merged100% · 1 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 12 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 trading bot developer 6 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 10.1 min after buying · transaction +0.02 NEAR
pair bought within 21.2 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 3.4 s of 30fa5c4f5bc5e32…57e92 · 168 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 36.4 s of alola.near · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
2 7e4213671de0c86…672c0 8 s · transaction 20.00 NEAR not sold -0.03 NEAR
pair bought within 1.7 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 39 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.8 s of 30fa5c4f5bc5e32…57e92 · 30 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 19.5 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 18 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
3 30fa5c4f5bc5e32…57e92 10 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR not sold -0.12 NEAR
pair bought within 3.4 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 168 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 17.8 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 80 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 32.9 s of alola.near · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
4 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b 27 s · transaction 2.50 NEAR 14.5 min after buying · transaction -0.09 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 212 of those launches
pair bought within 21.2 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 15.2 s of alola.near · 103 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 17.8 s of 30fa5c4f5bc5e32…57e92 · 80 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
5 b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 34 s · transaction 7.38 NEAR 21 s after buying · transaction +0.22 NEAR
group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 43 of those launches
pair bought within 0.4 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.4 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.4 s of 99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
6 2e6d3355d0e0fa4…ccbb1 34 s · transaction 7.38 NEAR 21 s after buying · transaction -0.08 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 26 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.4 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 26 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 25 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
7 57b75e37532eb09…faeea 34 s · transaction 7.38 NEAR 21 s after buying · transaction -0.08 NEAR
group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 42 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of 94feda709c301ed…63090 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.4 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
8 99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f 34 s · transaction 7.38 NEAR 21 s after buying · transaction -0.37 NEAR
group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 41 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.4 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
9 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 34 s · transaction 7.38 NEAR 21 s after buying · transaction -0.55 NEAR
group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 41 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of 99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.4 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
10 94feda709c301ed…63090 34 s · transaction 7.38 NEAR 21 s after buying · transaction -0.73 NEAR
group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 42 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
11 bf9c9b725df0744…ca524 35 s · transaction 7.38 NEAR 20 s after buying · transaction -0.28 NEAR
group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 39 of those launches
pair bought within 0.6 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 39 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.0 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 39 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
12 alola.near 42 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 30.3 min after buying · transaction -0.13 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches
pair bought within 36.4 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 15.2 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 103 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 32.9 s of 30fa5c4f5bc5e32…57e92 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of cryptovn21.tg

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-10-11 00:52 UTC nearly.trade ocm.nearlytrade.near 0 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-11 14:34 UTC nearly.trade qw.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-14 03:56 UTC nearly.trade 6y6.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 11:39 UTC nearly.trade higher-2.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 13:45 UTC nearly.trade mfire.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 14:25 UTC nearly.trade zillions.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-18 11:36 UTC nearly.trade justeat.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-18 11:41 UTC justhoot v1 justeat-661757.launchpad.justhoot.near 5 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-21 15:48 UTC justhoot v1 eat-ee3faa.launchpad.justhoot.near 0 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-11-06 03:10 UTC nearly.trade imeme-10.nearlytrade.near 15 Low no rug live
2026-11-09 12:34 UTC nearly.trade nfj.nearlytrade.near 20 Low no rug live