SPLUS nearly.trade

splus.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Risk score: Low 10 / 100 issued 2026-11-09 23:29 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

v1 — weights fitted on launch history. The score ranks risk; it is not a probability. Calibration in progress. Computed from what was known at launch time and frozen: it never changes. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 38 % (282 launches) (as of the card's issue time, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. no outside buyers; no outside buyers.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Sold by: narrownook4299.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-11-09 23:36:25 UTC, 6.9 min after the launch: Da34yVh2QgR43…tUbuo.
  • Outside buyers' net result: +0.00 NEAR · insiders' net result: -0.78 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 96% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-10T23:29 UTC with config v1-fit-1.

Launch

Launched2026-11-09 23:29:31 UTC · block 223835140 · live
Transaction5i8Qg5E28jLWL…DjxbS
Creatornarrownook4299.near explorer
Poolsplus.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy20.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 0.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 15:49 UTC

24 out of 100 · formula ls-2 · the mean of the four parts below · how it is built

Buyers in profit0 0 of 1 outside buyers
Buy pressure0 buys 0.00 NEAR · sells 0.00 NEAR in the last 60 min
Price vs peak96 the last price against the highest price since the launch
Activity0 0 different buyers in the last 60 min (100 from 20)

Facts now

Last trade2026-11-12 19:48 UTC
Price now0.98x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.96x the peak
Outside buyers in profit0 of 1 · 0%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group—
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%100%100%100%100%
Dev's first sell after launch—6.9 min6.9 min6.9 min6.9 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)00000
Buyers spent0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR
Buyers net result0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%100%100%100%100%
Insiders' net result-0.20 NEAR-0.78 NEAR-0.78 NEAR-0.78 NEAR-0.78 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer—————
Holders10000
Top 10 holders' share100%————

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 1.9% · holds 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group — — —
Other early buyers — — —
All early buyers (the six rows above)0% · 0 wallets0% · 0 wallets0% · 0 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)98.1%100%100%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%——
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 0 merged——
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Other launches of narrownook4299.near

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-10-13 22:47 UTC nearly.trade whale.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-13 23:19 UTC nearly.trade believe-2.nearlytrade.near 15 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-14 00:30 UTC nearly.trade nearlydog-2.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-14 02:00 UTC nearly.trade nearinu-4.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-14 02:07 UTC nearly.trade nearlycat-4.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-14 06:37 UTC nearly.trade nmoney.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-14 08:31 UTC nearly.trade fogo-2.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro rug history: launch only
2026-10-14 10:54 UTC nearly.trade glorilla.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 10:47 UTC nearly.trade end.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 13:10 UTC nearly.trade radarmeme.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 14:21 UTC nearly.trade neardragons.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 15:58 UTC nearly.trade ekang-3.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 16:16 UTC nearly.trade pnut-2.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 16:30 UTC nearly.trade pamp-2.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 16:50 UTC nearly.trade nearlykat.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 16:51 UTC nearly.trade nkat-5.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 20:49 UTC nearly.trade babykat.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 21:03 UTC nearly.trade babybatman.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 21:22 UTC nearly.trade avatarkat.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-16 02:33 UTC nearly.trade ekang-4.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-17 18:18 UTC nearly.trade bull-2.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-17 18:43 UTC nearly.trade mooncoin-2.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-17 18:52 UTC nearly.trade marscoin-2.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-18 00:19 UTC nearly.trade robin-4.nearlytrade.near 35 Elevated retro rug history: launch only
2026-10-18 04:46 UTC nearly.trade nearagent.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-18 09:22 UTC nearly.trade mochi-2.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-18 10:09 UTC nearly.trade nearszn-3.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-18 11:38 UTC nearly.trade supercycle-2.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-18 16:09 UTC nearly.trade nearcash-2.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-19 18:46 UTC nearly.trade brf.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-19 22:57 UTC nearly.trade jokerinu.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-19 23:05 UTC nearly.trade jokerinu-2.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-19 23:54 UTC nearly.trade nearlycash.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-21 14:13 UTC nearly.trade nearlykat-2.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-21 14:59 UTC nearly.trade blrf.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-21 16:58 UTC nearly.trade listedex.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-21 19:29 UTC nearly.trade hodl-4.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-22 00:36 UTC nearly.trade leo-2.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-22 14:54 UTC nearly.trade bee.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-10-22 22:52 UTC nearly.trade kimchi.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-23 00:46 UTC nearly.trade superinu.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-23 16:51 UTC nearly.trade nearmoney.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-10-23 21:24 UTC nearly.trade nearbear-2.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-23 23:37 UTC nearly.trade mochi-3.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro rug history: launch only
2026-10-24 00:14 UTC nearly.trade supercat.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-25 01:57 UTC nearly.trade green-2.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-11-01 05:06 UTC nearly.trade mermaid.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug live
2026-11-05 01:48 UTC nearly.trade pnear-2.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug live
2026-11-12 07:23 UTC nearly.trade crash.nearlytrade.near 45 Elevated no rug live