BLRF nearly.trade

blrf.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Elevated 30 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

  • +20
    Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; after the platform's 40.00% cut the creator gets 60.00% of it (0.600% per buy, 0.600% per sell; creator_bps 10000, platform_bps 4000).
  • +10
    Received 116.25 NEAR 6.4 h before the launch from wiseyam6893.near, whose earlier launch robin-4.nearlytrade.near (made by narrownook4299.near, linked to him) ended as a rug; 2 such funders in all.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 29 % (749 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. no outside buyers; no outside buyers.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Sold by: narrownook4299.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-10-21 17:03:38 UTC, 124.3 min after the launch: EPodMt7eNYNqk…5U8xc.
  • Outside buyers' net result: +0.00 NEAR · insiders' net result: -1.56 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 93% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-10-21 14:59:22 UTC · block 220960870 · history: launch only
Transaction8xqiknXsyhwbg…KarC1
Creatornarrownook4299.near explorer
Poolblrf.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy40.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 100.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:43 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade2026-10-21 17:48 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0 · no trade seen in our live data
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%0%0%100%
Dev's first sell after launch————124.3 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)00000
Buyers spent0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR
Buyers net result0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%0%0%100%
Insiders' net result+0.30 NEAR+0.30 NEAR+0.30 NEAR+0.30 NEAR-1.56 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer—————
Holders11110
Top 10 holders' share100%100%100%100%—

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 3.7% · holds 3.7% · holds 3.7% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group — — —
Other early buyers — — —
All early buyers (the six rows above)0% · 0 wallets0% · 0 wallets0% · 0 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)96.3%96.3%96.3%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Other launches of narrownook4299.near

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-10-13 22:47 UTC nearly.trade whale.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-13 23:19 UTC nearly.trade believe-2.nearlytrade.near 15 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-14 00:30 UTC nearly.trade nearlydog-2.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-14 02:00 UTC nearly.trade nearinu-4.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-14 02:07 UTC nearly.trade nearlycat-4.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-14 06:37 UTC nearly.trade nmoney.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-14 08:31 UTC nearly.trade fogo-2.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro rug history: launch only
2026-10-14 10:54 UTC nearly.trade glorilla.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 10:47 UTC nearly.trade end.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 13:10 UTC nearly.trade radarmeme.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 14:21 UTC nearly.trade neardragons.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 15:58 UTC nearly.trade ekang-3.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 16:16 UTC nearly.trade pnut-2.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 16:30 UTC nearly.trade pamp-2.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 16:50 UTC nearly.trade nearlykat.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 16:51 UTC nearly.trade nkat-5.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 20:49 UTC nearly.trade babykat.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 21:03 UTC nearly.trade babybatman.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-15 21:22 UTC nearly.trade avatarkat.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-16 02:33 UTC nearly.trade ekang-4.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-17 18:18 UTC nearly.trade bull-2.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-17 18:43 UTC nearly.trade mooncoin-2.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-17 18:52 UTC nearly.trade marscoin-2.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-18 00:19 UTC nearly.trade robin-4.nearlytrade.near 35 Elevated retro rug history: launch only
2026-10-18 04:46 UTC nearly.trade nearagent.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-18 09:22 UTC nearly.trade mochi-2.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-18 10:09 UTC nearly.trade nearszn-3.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-18 11:38 UTC nearly.trade supercycle-2.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-18 16:09 UTC nearly.trade nearcash-2.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-19 18:46 UTC nearly.trade brf.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-19 22:57 UTC nearly.trade jokerinu.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-19 23:05 UTC nearly.trade jokerinu-2.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-19 23:54 UTC nearly.trade nearlycash.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-21 14:13 UTC nearly.trade nearlykat-2.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-21 16:58 UTC nearly.trade listedex.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-21 19:29 UTC nearly.trade hodl-4.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-22 00:36 UTC nearly.trade leo-2.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-22 14:54 UTC nearly.trade bee.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-10-22 22:52 UTC nearly.trade kimchi.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-23 00:46 UTC nearly.trade superinu.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-23 16:51 UTC nearly.trade nearmoney.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-10-23 21:24 UTC nearly.trade nearbear-2.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-23 23:37 UTC nearly.trade mochi-3.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro rug history: launch only
2026-10-24 00:14 UTC nearly.trade supercat.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-25 01:57 UTC nearly.trade green-2.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-11-01 05:06 UTC nearly.trade mermaid.nearlytrade.near 10 Low retro no rug live
2026-11-05 01:48 UTC nearly.trade pnear-2.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug live
2026-11-09 23:29 UTC nearly.trade splus.nearlytrade.near 10 Low no rug live
2026-11-12 07:23 UTC nearly.trade crash.nearlytrade.near 45 Elevated no rug live