gemini.v2-launchpad.jus….near justhoot v2

gemini.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 10 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

+10
Received 10.00 NEAR 608.3 h before the launch from glacial_anomaly.user.intear.near, whose earlier launch lol.nearlytrade.near (made by root52.user.intear.near, linked to him) ended as a rug; 2 such funders in all.
Evidence: transaction 7qGC3RTvXbfxtjPfc…azVqZ, launch lol.nearlytrade.near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 40 % (806 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 3; they sold 0% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Received tokens from the dev: root.near, alex.near.
Outside buyers' net result: -58.18 NEAR · insiders' net result: +3.53 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 50% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-26 20:26:32 UTC · block 221738281 · history: launch only
Transaction	398wuUqdD9EKf…HhNyJ
Creator	kolosun.tg explorer
Pool	gemini.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	3.44 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:44 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-28 09:11 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-28 09:11 UTC
Price now	0.98x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.50x the peak
Outside buyers in profit	13 of 47 · 27.6%
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account	0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	0.2% · 2 of 2 hold
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	<0.01% · 1 of 17 hold

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	—
Buyers (other than the insiders)	20	31	33	37	47
Buyers spent	174.79 NEAR	436.71 NEAR	509.82 NEAR	626.94 NEAR	1,477.91 NEAR
Buyers net result	+23.44 NEAR	+0.93 NEAR	+14.60 NEAR	-4.70 NEAR	-58.18 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	3
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Insiders' net result	+4.67 NEAR	+4.36 NEAR	+4.76 NEAR	+4.40 NEAR	+3.53 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.32x	1.55x	1.55x	1.55x	1.99x
Holders	20	19	19	18	8
Top 10 holders' share	88.9%	90.3%	91.5%	88.3%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0.3% · holds	0.3% · holds	0.3% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	8.3% · 15 of 16 hold	3.2% · 10 of 17 hold	3.0% · 7 of 17 hold
Other early buyers	4.6% · 4 of 4 hold	5.7% · 7 of 13 hold	4.0% · 6 of 13 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	12.9% · 20 wallets	8.9% · 30 wallets	6.9% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	86.8%	90.8%	92.8%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	88.9%	90.3%	88.3%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	91.2% · 1 merged	92.7% · 1 merged	91.2% · 1 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	tyty.sendler-b.near bot_wallet	5 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	61 s after buying · transaction	-0.01 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 249 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 207 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 396 of 533 launches (not put in a group)
2	wrapz-z.near independent_sniper	5 s · transaction	3.00 NEAR	12.2 min after buying · transaction	+0.43 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 207 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
3	b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper	5 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	40.1 min after buying · transaction	+0.26 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
4	c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 bot_developer	5 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	16.8 min after buying · transaction	+0.18 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 249 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
5	cockis.near	6 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	not sold	+0.22 NEAR	pair bought within 0.7 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 244 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.7 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 236 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.7 s of wrapz-z.near · 197 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
6	hooting.near	9 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	12.1 min after buying · transaction	+0.14 NEAR	pair bought within 4.4 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 97 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.6 s of cockis.near · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 4.4 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 23 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
7	fastest.user.in….near	44 s · transaction	9.90 NEAR	10.3 min after buying · transaction	+4.40 NEAR	pair bought within 38.5 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 38.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 38.5 s of wrapz-z.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
8	2a7f31817cd7531…aa3ba	68 s · transaction	9.94 NEAR	6.2 min after buying · transaction	+2.46 NEAR	pair bought within 14.1 s of alola.near · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 58.4 s of hooting.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
9	3a5bc6ac4eca6a5…e0ede	82 s · transaction	51.79 NEAR	35.6 min after buying · transaction	+4.21 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of alola.near · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence
10	alola.near	82 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	not sold	+0.17 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of 3a5bc6ac4eca6a5…e0ede · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 14.1 s of 2a7f31817cd7531…aa3ba · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 38.3 s of fastest.user.in….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
11	0x_mert.near	2.9 min · transaction	50.00 NEAR	8.6 min after buying · transaction	+13.77 NEAR	none found
12	teeflux.user.in….near	3.3 min · transaction	9.90 NEAR	not sold	-0.42 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 8 of those launches pair bought within 15.8 s of phbo.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
13	fuck_you_all.us….near	3.4 min · transaction	19.80 NEAR	4.0 min after buying · transaction	+1.56 NEAR	pair bought within 8.5 s of phbo.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
14	phbo.near	3.6 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	not sold	+0.28 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 53 of those launches pair bought within 46.7 s of krhuize.tg · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 8.5 s of fuck_you_all.us….near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 15.8 s of teeflux.user.in….near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
15	cbf71336c08ec03…762f2	3.9 min · transaction	67.20 NEAR	8.3 min after buying · transaction	-6.18 NEAR	pair bought within 29.9 s of krhuize.tg · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
16	b4cb42910279741….near	4.2 min · transaction	12.00 NEAR	not sold	-0.38 NEAR	pair bought within 38.5 s of phbo.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
17	kabirty.user.in….near	4.3 min · transaction	1.98 NEAR	4.1 min after buying · transaction	-0.20 NEAR	none found
18	krhuize.tg	4.3 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	2.2 min after buying · transaction	-0.60 NEAR	pair bought within 46.7 s of phbo.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 29.9 s of cbf71336c08ec03…762f2 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 59.9 s of h2onear.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
19	year1.near	4.5 min · transaction	5.65 NEAR	not sold	-0.33 NEAR	none found
20	destruktor.near	4.8 min · transaction	4.00 NEAR	not sold	-0.26 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of kolosun.tg

Time	Launchpad	Token	Risk	Outcome	Data
2026-10-01 11:55 UTC	nearly.trade	mark.nearlytrade.near	60 High retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-01 13:00 UTC	nearly.trade	scamtest.nearlytrade.near	60 High retro	rug	history: launch only
2026-10-01 19:12 UTC	nearly.trade	beer-2.nearlytrade.near	65 High retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-03 16:59 UTC	nearly.trade	markpenis.nearlytrade.near	30 Elevated retro	rug	history: launch only
2026-10-09 12:38 UTC	nearly.trade	carefull.nearlytrade.near	30 Elevated retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-27 13:38 UTC	justhoot v2	antperp.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near	10 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-27 13:43 UTC	justhoot v2	ant-2.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near	15 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-27 13:45 UTC	justhoot v2	ant-3.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near	15 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-27 13:52 UTC	justhoot v2	ant-4.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near	15 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-29 14:44 UTC	justhoot v2	nearpump.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near	10 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-29 20:53 UTC	justhoot v2	hacked.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near	10 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-11-09 17:11 UTC	justhoot v2	nkmeme.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near	10 Low	no rug	live
2026-11-12 17:24 UTC	nearly.trade	bigillia.nearlytrade.near	5 Low	rug	live