nkmeme.v2-launchpad.jus….near justhoot v2

nkmeme.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Risk score: Low 10 / 100 issued 2026-11-09 17:11 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

The largest funder's (5f3f61ba1b188531546faeeaeb60b489b8918c026f99a5cedf7dafa7837dd319) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

v1 — weights fitted on launch history. The score ranks risk; it is not a probability. Calibration in progress. Computed from what was known at launch time and frozen: it never changes. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 37 % (310 launches) (as of the card's issue time, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 85 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Sold by: kolosun.tg (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-11-09 19:30:51 UTC, 139.4 min after the launch: GFbPJt4ZbJKMw…VbBDg.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -4.93 NEAR · insiders' net result: +10.13 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 85% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-10T17:11 UTC with config v1-fit-1.

Launch

Launched2026-11-09 17:11:27 UTC · block 223796318 · live
Transaction2LCwAuouJKypr…eBEW3
Creatorkolosun.tg explorer
Poolnkmeme.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy9.94 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 16:47 UTC

29 out of 100 · formula ls-2 · the mean of the four parts below · how it is built

Buyers in profit32 7 of 22 outside buyers
Buy pressure0 buys 0.00 NEAR · sells 0.00 NEAR in the last 60 min
Price vs peak84 the last price against the highest price since the launch
Activity0 0 different buyers in the last 60 min (100 from 20)

Facts now

Last trade2026-11-12 17:02 UTC
Price now0.97x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.84x the peak
Outside buyers in profit7 of 22 · 31.8%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side0% · 0 of 1 hold
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0% · 0 of 11 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%0%0%100%
Dev's first sell after launch————139.4 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)1722222222
Buyers spent100.62 NEAR129.45 NEAR129.45 NEAR129.45 NEAR129.45 NEAR
Buyers net result+2.89 NEAR-1.25 NEAR-3.00 NEAR-3.94 NEAR-4.93 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%0%0%100%
Insiders' net result+11.33 NEAR+10.98 NEAR+10.66 NEAR+10.43 NEAR+10.13 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.11x1.16x1.16x1.16x1.16x
Holders141513104
Top 10 holders' share97.9%94.3%96.8%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0.7% · holds 0.7% · holds 0.7% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side 0.0% · 1 of 1 hold 0% · 0 of 1 hold 0% · 0 of 1 hold
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 4.5% · 7 of 11 hold 0.8% · 5 of 11 hold 0.4% · 2 of 11 hold
Other early buyers 1.1% · 5 of 5 hold 2.8% · 10 of 10 hold 1.5% · 8 of 10 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)5.6% · 17 wallets3.6% · 22 wallets1.9% · 22 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)93.7%95.7%97.4%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)97.9%94.3%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder97.9% · 0 merged94.3% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 8 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 3.0 min after buying · transaction +0.06 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 189 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of cockis.near · 84 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
2 yazaplakal.send….near bot_wallet 8 s · transaction 0.50 NEAR 5.0 min after buying · transaction +0.04 NEAR
dev side received 5.00 NEAR from mcloven1.tg (a member of the dev's linked group), 4566.1 min before its first buy · transaction
pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 64 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 64 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of trade.sendler-b.near · 62 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
3 trade.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 8 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 3.0 min after buying · transaction +0.05 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 71 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 71 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of yazaplakal.send….near · 62 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 72 of 129 launches (not put in a group)
4 dolph.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 8 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 3.0 min after buying · transaction +0.05 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 111 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of trade.sendler-b.near · 71 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 212 of 335 launches (not put in a group)
5 cockis.near 8 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR not sold +0.0097 NEAR
pair bought within 2.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 244 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 84 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 65 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
6 b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper 11 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 15.1 min after buying · transaction +0.03 NEAR
pair bought within 2.6 s of cockis.near · 244 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.6 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 189 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.6 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 111 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
7 2a7f31817cd7531…aa3ba 79 s · transaction 9.94 NEAR 99 s after buying · transaction +0.50 NEAR
pair bought within 34.9 s of alola.near · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
8 s3m0n.tg 104 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR not sold -0.05 NEAR
pair bought within 10.4 s of alola.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
9 alola.near 114 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 30.2 min after buying · transaction -0.01 NEAR
pair bought within 34.9 s of 2a7f31817cd7531…aa3ba · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 10.4 s of s3m0n.tg · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 33.3 s of krhuize.tg · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
10 3024eac17eb7993…234cc 2.1 min · transaction 27.74 NEAR 8.5 min after buying · transaction +1.28 NEAR
pair bought within 10.6 s of alola.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
11 krhuize.tg 2.5 min · transaction 4.00 NEAR 46.0 min after buying · transaction -0.27 NEAR
pair bought within 33.3 s of alola.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of toxic_sentinel.….near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
12 toxic_sentinel.….near 2.5 min · transaction 30.00 NEAR 8.3 min after buying · transaction -1.06 NEAR
pair bought within 33.3 s of alola.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of krhuize.tg · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
13 mayberich.near 3.7 min · transaction 1.00 NEAR not sold -0.08 NEAR none found
14 ycklh.tg 3.8 min · transaction 1.05 NEAR not sold -0.08 NEAR none found
15 r3ndaik.tg 4.0 min · transaction 0.20 NEAR not sold -0.02 NEAR none found
16 quick-rider-483….near 4.1 min · transaction 0.35 NEAR 39.8 min after buying · transaction -0.03 NEAR none found
17 rusty_drone.use….near 4.4 min · transaction 14.85 NEAR 33.2 min after buying · transaction -1.33 NEAR none found
18 copperteacup.near 5.4 min · transaction 3.00 NEAR not sold -0.29 NEAR none found
19 wenmar01.tg 5.8 min · transaction 6.00 NEAR not sold -0.62 NEAR none found
20 9bb867033fff7c1…121a0 6.5 min · transaction 13.88 NEAR 16.2 min after buying · transaction -1.45 NEAR none found
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of kolosun.tg

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-10-01 11:55 UTC nearly.trade mark.nearlytrade.near 60 High retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-01 13:00 UTC nearly.trade scamtest.nearlytrade.near 60 High retro rug history: launch only
2026-10-01 19:12 UTC nearly.trade beer-2.nearlytrade.near 65 High retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-03 16:59 UTC nearly.trade markpenis.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro rug history: launch only
2026-10-09 12:38 UTC nearly.trade carefull.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-26 20:26 UTC justhoot v2 gemini.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-27 13:38 UTC justhoot v2 antperp.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-27 13:43 UTC justhoot v2 ant-2.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near 15 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-27 13:45 UTC justhoot v2 ant-3.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near 15 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-27 13:52 UTC justhoot v2 ant-4.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near 15 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-29 14:44 UTC justhoot v2 nearpump.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-29 20:53 UTC justhoot v2 hacked.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near 10 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-11-12 17:24 UTC nearly.trade bigillia.nearlytrade.near 5 Low rug live