GOONEAR nearly.trade

goonear.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

+20
Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; after the platform's 20.00% cut the creator gets 80.00% of it (0.800% per buy, 0.800% per sell; creator_bps 10000, platform_bps 2000).
Evidence: launch goonear.nearlytrade.near

The largest funder's (f1dc059f314d0032263b3a3eb08391568e2dfd8840631394dd967781360f34df) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 21 % (1567 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 22 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 3; they sold 303.8% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Sold by: f1dc059f314d0032263b3…f34df (recipient), yilongma.near (dev).
Passed the threshold at 2026-10-01 00:07:25 UTC, 103.8 min after the launch: 5aNFNUgg12K6V…UEDMs.
Received tokens from the dev: aggregatedex.near, f1dc059f314d0032263b3…f34df.
Outside buyers' net result: -99.09 NEAR · insiders' net result: +56.20 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 22% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-09-30 22:23:37 UTC · block 217975171 · history: launch only
Transaction	9xMBjSaGGRGtP…xj4iM
Creator	launchbot.nearlytrade.near explorer
Owner (paid the launch bot)	yilongma.near evidence: 4Y1pkzkrtCYJWeLVXxHGrXzkoR6cJJaqxfDYNME1CjXK
Pool	goonear.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	29.00 NEAR
Tax options	buy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 100.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:44 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-01 18:46 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0 · no trade seen in our live data

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	104.9 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)	38	60	65	67	68
Buyers spent	884.92 NEAR	1,379.62 NEAR	1,605.75 NEAR	1,692.76 NEAR	1,732.68 NEAR
Buyers net result	+631.80 NEAR	+1,055.27 NEAR	+426.12 NEAR	+294.52 NEAR	-99.09 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	2	2	2	3
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	—	0%	0%	0%	303.8%
Insiders' net result	0.00 NEAR	+39.87 NEAR	+21.17 NEAR	+16.58 NEAR	+56.20 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	3.18x	4.49x	4.49x	4.49x	4.49x
Holders	36	53	41	41	13
Top 10 holders' share	63.0%	53.3%	62.0%	64.0%	100.0%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	2.0% · 1 of 1 hold	2.0% · 1 of 1 hold
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	28.4% · 19 of 22 hold	25.9% · 18 of 21 hold	14.7% · 9 of 21 hold
Other early buyers	11.5% · 8 of 8 hold	8.8% · 6 of 8 hold	10.1% · 6 of 8 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	39.9% · 30 wallets	34.6% · 29 wallets	24.8% · 29 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	60.1%	63.3%	73.2%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	63.0%	53.3%	64.0%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	76.0% · 4 merged	64.1% · 4 merged	73.3% · 3 merged

The dev sent tokens to other wallets: those are in the "got tokens from the dev" row, not in the dev's own.

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	6a701f7eb1c3f78…07b54	10 s · transaction	0.0100 NEAR	not sold	+0.01 NEAR	pair bought within 46.0 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 55.9 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 55.9 s of 33319fac01abb0a…182c0 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
2	5b98d5597014662…768b4	32 s · transaction	9.95 NEAR	not sold	+14.69 NEAR	none found
3	nearchu.near	35 s · transaction	30.00 NEAR	not sold	+41.60 NEAR	none found
4	nea1r.near	37 s · transaction	39.60 NEAR	not sold	+49.14 NEAR	pair bought within 15.4 s of 1abb937e7aebae7…3416e · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
5	14ffdaa3960b3d9…e9951	39 s · transaction	9.92 NEAR	not sold	+11.35 NEAR	none found
6	nonearforyou.near	52 s · transaction	39.68 NEAR	not sold	+41.85 NEAR	group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 10 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 1abb937e7aebae7…3416e · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 4.3 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 14.2 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
7	1abb937e7aebae7…3416e	52 s · transaction	40.00 NEAR	not sold	+36.86 NEAR	group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 11 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of nonearforyou.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 17.6 s of alola.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 6.0 s of neargodd.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
8	f1dc059f314d003…f34df got tokens from the dev	53 s · transaction	20.00 NEAR	not sold	+16.58 NEAR	pair bought within 1.8 s of walletneartrader.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 4.7 s of neargodd.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 34.3 s of bnearr.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
9	walletneartrader.near	55 s · transaction	10.00 NEAR	not sold	+7.86 NEAR	pair bought within 1.8 s of f1dc059f314d003…f34df · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 2.9 s of neargodd.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
10	d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6	56 s · transaction	106.12 NEAR	9.6 min after buying · transaction	+45.15 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 194 of those launches pair bought within 13.3 s of alola.near · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 9.9 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 51.7 s of 80289da0a50f047…d6989 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence and 9 more pairs · all pairs
11	neargodd.near	58 s · transaction	35.00 NEAR	not sold	+22.89 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 19 of those launches pair bought within 29.6 s of bnearr.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 4.7 s of f1dc059f314d003…f34df · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 6.0 s of 1abb937e7aebae7…3416e · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
12	kl1mmm.near	60 s · transaction	3.74 NEAR	10.4 min after buying · transaction	+4.44 NEAR	none found
13	ultra-dolphin-7….near	65 s · transaction	0.10 NEAR	3.2 min after buying · transaction	+0.09 NEAR	pair bought within 5.2 s of alola.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 54.2 s of 6a701f7eb1c3f78…07b54 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 8.2 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
14	c28ebb8af189396…a8c13	66 s · transaction	35.66 NEAR	9.5 min after buying · transaction	+11.16 NEAR	group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 19 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 33319fac01abb0a…182c0 · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
15	33319fac01abb0a…182c0	66 s · transaction	35.66 NEAR	9.5 min after buying · transaction	+11.54 NEAR	group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 19 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
16	03712631d52c0ad…1b110	66 s · transaction	33.01 NEAR	18.9 min after buying · transaction	+9.68 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 63 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 60 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 58 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.5 s of alola.near · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
17	3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735	66 s · transaction	33.01 NEAR	9.5 min after buying · transaction	+8.69 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 60 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 58 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 56 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.5 s of alola.near · 28 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
18	7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8	66 s · transaction	38.30 NEAR	9.5 min after buying · transaction	+15.22 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 77 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 60 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 56 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.5 s of alola.near · 32 launches together · their buy · evidence and 8 more pairs · all pairs
19	alola.near	70 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	4.2 min after buying · transaction	+0.95 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches pair bought within 13.3 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.5 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 32 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.5 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence and 10 more pairs · all pairs
20	betteralex.near	70 s · transaction	58.00 NEAR	29.8 min after buying · transaction	+24.54 NEAR	pair bought within 3.5 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.5 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.5 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of yilongma.near

Time	Launchpad	Token	Risk	Outcome	Data
2026-10-02 14:42 UTC	nearly.trade	bacterhea-3.nearlytrade.near	5 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-15 02:13 UTC	nearly.trade	near-25.nearlytrade.near	5 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only