QINU nearly.trade

qinu.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

+20
Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; after the platform's 30.00% cut the creator gets 70.00% of it (0.700% per buy, 0.700% per sell; creator_bps 10000, platform_bps 3000).
Evidence: launch qinu.nearlytrade.near

The largest funder's (72922668f5f3b71512cf49e0ee5ff0ab65f7d4358f497fbf062d213e2f73caff) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 22 % (2588 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 55 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 818.2% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Sold by: narrowwiki8350.near (dev).
Passed the threshold at 2026-10-06 18:22:33 UTC, 84.2 min after the launch: 4ieRFVQvhYneB…epsRS.
Outside buyers' net result: -21.24 NEAR · insiders' net result: +5.25 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 55% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-06 16:58:23 UTC · block 218818555 · history: launch only
Transaction	Do6Gr1ucTk7VF…MZp2T
Creator	launchbot.nearlytrade.near explorer
Owner (paid the launch bot)	narrowwiki8350.near evidence: B8gd3nxxCHtFEy3Cf4a7nMUW8NxYAnAo7ZWxPYJrGay6
Pool	qinu.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	5.00 NEAR
Tax options	buy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 100.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:48 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-07 13:57 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0 · no trade seen in our live data

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	0%	0%	0%	0%	818.2%
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	84.2 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)	8	25	29	31	32
Buyers spent	190.17 NEAR	480.54 NEAR	512.72 NEAR	516.81 NEAR	552.79 NEAR
Buyers net result	+26.29 NEAR	+83.86 NEAR	-16.22 NEAR	-16.59 NEAR	-21.24 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	0%	0%	0%	0%	818.2%
Insiders' net result	+0.24 NEAR	+0.48 NEAR	+0.06 NEAR	+0.05 NEAR	+5.25 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.30x	1.62x	1.70x	1.70x	1.70x
Holders	9	18	9	11	5
Top 10 holders' share	100%	97.3%	100%	99.9%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0.1% · holds	0.1% · holds	0.1% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	6.0% · 5 of 5 hold	6.7% · 2 of 12 hold	0% · 0 of 12 hold
Other early buyers	9.3% · 3 of 3 hold	16.2% · 12 of 13 hold	3.4% · 6 of 18 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	15.3% · 8 wallets	23.0% · 25 wallets	3.4% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	84.7%	77.0%	96.5%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	100%	97.3%	99.9%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	100% · 0 merged	97.3% · 0 merged	99.9% · 0 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	80289da0a50f047…d6989	52 s · transaction	50.00 NEAR	6.3 min after buying · transaction	+17.13 NEAR	none found
2	31a58fd2b1626ac…76fa3	117 s · transaction	2.97 NEAR	5.1 min after buying · transaction	+0.55 NEAR	pair bought within 39.1 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
3	kimpet77.near	2.3 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	3.4 min after buying · transaction	+1.95 NEAR	pair bought within 16.2 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 27.0 s of rekttin.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
4	d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6	2.6 min · transaction	12.50 NEAR	6.1 min after buying · transaction	+0.93 NEAR	pair bought within 16.2 s of kimpet77.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 10.7 s of rekttin.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 39.1 s of 31a58fd2b1626ac…76fa3 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
5	rekttin.near	2.8 min · transaction	90.00 NEAR	3.0 min after buying · transaction	-1.37 NEAR	pair bought within 10.7 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 57.7 s of iagipero.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 27.0 s of kimpet77.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
6	satirexxx.near	3.1 min · transaction	29.70 NEAR	21.6 min after buying · transaction	+1.59 NEAR	none found
7	iagipero.near	3.8 min · transaction	30.00 NEAR	21.4 min after buying · transaction	-1.47 NEAR	pair bought within 57.7 s of rekttin.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
8	ethetheth.near	4.5 min · transaction	35.00 NEAR	19.2 min after buying · transaction	+7.20 NEAR	none found
9	lowpant8440.near	6.2 min · transaction	18.00 NEAR	6.4 min after buying · transaction	+1.76 NEAR	none found
10	capuccino88.near	9.8 min · transaction	41.58 NEAR	not sold	-7.36 NEAR	none found
11	b196fe8d7a4140c…f04ea	10.1 min · transaction	7.82 NEAR	2.5 min after buying · transaction	+0.96 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 35 of those launches pair bought within 15.2 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 34 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 14.9 s of 94feda709c301ed…63090 · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 15.2 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
12	94feda709c301ed…63090	10.3 min · transaction	7.82 NEAR	2.2 min after buying · transaction	+0.66 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 42 of those launches pair bought within 0.4 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.4 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.4 s of 99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
13	82804aad087fc31…e82f3	10.3 min · transaction	7.82 NEAR	2.2 min after buying · transaction	+0.45 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 41 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
14	99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f	10.3 min · transaction	7.82 NEAR	2.2 min after buying · transaction	+0.0073 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 41 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
15	bf9c9b725df0744…ca524	10.3 min · transaction	7.82 NEAR	2.2 min after buying · transaction	+0.05 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 39 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 39 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 39 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
16	b2a29568eb32627…0dda9	10.3 min · transaction	7.82 NEAR	2.2 min after buying · transaction	-0.14 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 43 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
17	57b75e37532eb09…faeea	10.3 min · transaction	7.82 NEAR	2.2 min after buying · transaction	-0.04 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 42 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.4 s of 94feda709c301ed…63090 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
18	guz004.near	11.0 min · transaction	40.00 NEAR	14.3 min after buying · transaction	-11.21 NEAR	none found
19	rawmouse6093.near	11.2 min · transaction	5.60 NEAR	14.5 min after buying · transaction	-1.74 NEAR	none found
20	badriansyahirwa….near	11.3 min · transaction	0.50 NEAR	not sold	-0.18 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of narrowwiki8350.near

Time	Launchpad	Token	Risk	Outcome	Data
2026-10-06 18:25 UTC	nearly.trade	qcat.nearlytrade.near	0 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only