HOOT nearly.trade

hoot-10.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 25 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

  • +20
    Trade tax 4.00% buy / 4.00% sell; after the platform's 20.00% cut the creator gets 80.00% of it (3.200% per buy, 3.200% per sell; creator_bps 10000, platform_bps 2000).
    Evidence: launch hoot-10.nearlytrade.near
  • +5
    The name 'hoot' was already used 16.8 h earlier by another creator (hoot-7.nearlytrade.near).
    Evidence: launch hoot-7.nearlytrade.near

The largest funder's (meowinwhite.near) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 11 % (940 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 15.86 NEAR.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 102.9% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
  • Sold by: 3percentofeverything.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-09-29 12:32:41 UTC, 2.1 min after the launch: 7ptH9oztGNY6b…pFQ7x.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -15.86 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.35 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-09-29 12:30:37 UTC · block 217777257 · history: launch only
TransactionESmtwAyZ4EP2i…FWzVB
Creator3percentofeverything.near explorer
Poolhoot-10.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy40.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 4.00% · sell 4.00% · creator's share of the tax 100.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:44 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade2026-09-29 13:17 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0 · no trade seen in our live data
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)100%100%100%102.9%102.9%
Dev's first sell after launch2.1 min2.1 min2.1 min2.1 min2.1 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)1111111111
Buyers spent156.52 NEAR156.52 NEAR156.52 NEAR156.52 NEAR156.52 NEAR
Buyers net result-15.86 NEAR-15.86 NEAR-15.86 NEAR-15.86 NEAR-15.86 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)100%100%100%102.9%102.9%
Insiders' net result-0.65 NEAR-0.65 NEAR-0.65 NEAR+0.35 NEAR+0.35 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.26x1.26x1.26x1.26x1.26x
Holders11133
Top 10 holders' share100%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 0% · 0 of 11 hold 0% · 0 of 11 hold 0% · 0 of 11 hold
Other early buyers — — —
All early buyers (the six rows above)0% · 11 wallets0% · 11 wallets0% · 11 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)100%100%100%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 11 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 betteralex.near 32 s · transaction 19.40 NEAR 37 s after buying · transaction +2.44 NEAR
group one of 5 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 15 of those launches
pair bought within 0.5 s of samegrain2799.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.1 s of gigasnipe.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.3 s of steepgoat5771.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
2 samegrain2799.near 33 s · transaction 19.40 NEAR 69 s after buying · transaction -0.84 NEAR
group one of 5 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 14 of those launches
pair bought within 0.5 s of betteralex.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of gigasnipe.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.7 s of steepgoat5771.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
3 gigasnipe.near 33 s · transaction 19.40 NEAR 89 s after buying · transaction -3.43 NEAR
group one of 5 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 14 of those launches
pair bought within 0.6 s of samegrain2799.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.1 s of betteralex.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.2 s of steepgoat5771.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
4 steepgoat5771.near 35 s · transaction 19.40 NEAR 118 s after buying · transaction -4.41 NEAR
group one of 5 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 13 of those launches
pair bought within 1.2 s of gigasnipe.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.7 s of samegrain2799.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.3 s of betteralex.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
5 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 45 s · transaction 12.18 NEAR 30 s after buying · transaction -0.95 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 60 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 58 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 56 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 6cac4e44915931a…b5879 · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
6 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 45 s · transaction 12.18 NEAR 35 s after buying · transaction -1.39 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 63 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 60 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 58 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of b532e63ee0e12ec…78cd1 · 39 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
7 6cac4e44915931a…b5879 45 s · transaction 12.18 NEAR 30 s after buying · transaction -1.00 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 43 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
8 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 45 s · transaction 12.18 NEAR 30 s after buying · transaction -1.02 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 77 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 60 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 56 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 6cac4e44915931a…b5879 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
9 b532e63ee0e12ec…78cd1 45 s · transaction 12.18 NEAR 30 s after buying · transaction -1.65 NEAR
group one of 5 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 6 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 39 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 35 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
10 e8a162641a55288…58210 63 s · transaction 8.00 NEAR 53 s after buying · transaction -1.85 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 145 of those launches
pair bought within 18.4 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 18.4 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 18 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 18.4 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 18 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
11 579b7294974b54d…30203 74 s · transaction 10.00 NEAR 22 s after buying · transaction -1.77 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 55 of those launches
pair bought within 29.3 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 10.9 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 29.3 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of 3percentofeverything.near

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-09-29 05:32 UTC nearly.trade hoot-8.nearlytrade.near 25 Low retro undefined history: launch only
2026-09-29 12:12 UTC nearly.trade hoot-9.nearlytrade.near 25 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-29 12:44 UTC nearly.trade arcia.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 18:20 UTC justhoot v1 huut-35fd3d.launchpad.justhoot.near 50 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 21:48 UTC justhoot v1 cashcow-4a4ec9.launchpad.justhoot.near 50 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-02 03:35 UTC nearly.trade chips-3.nearlytrade.near 35 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only