HOOT nearly.trade

hoot-9.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 25 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

  • +20
    Trade tax 3.00% buy / 3.00% sell; after the platform's 20.00% cut the creator gets 80.00% of it (2.400% per buy, 2.400% per sell; creator_bps 10000, platform_bps 2000).
    Evidence: launch hoot-9.nearlytrade.near
  • +5
    The name 'hoot' was already used 16.5 h earlier by another creator (hoot-7.nearlytrade.near).
    Evidence: launch hoot-7.nearlytrade.near

The largest funder's (meowinwhite.near) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 12 % (929 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 41.90 NEAR.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
  • Sold by: 3percentofeverything.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-09-29 12:15:08 UTC, 2.5 min after the launch: Fe4zAMsMpm7XL…vM9tZ.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -41.90 NEAR · insiders' net result: +20.06 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-09-29 12:12:37 UTC · block 217775447 · history: launch only
Transaction4JQyLKGZJTCgx…vkiyL
Creator3percentofeverything.near explorer
Poolhoot-9.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy42.51 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 3.00% · sell 3.00% · creator's share of the tax 100.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:44 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-09-29 13:17 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-09-29 13:17 UTC
Price now0.89x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.56x the peak
Outside buyers in profit3 of 19 · 15.8%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0% · 0 of 16 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)100%100%100%100%104.3%
Dev's first sell after launch2.5 min2.5 min2.5 min2.5 min2.5 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)1919191919
Buyers spent312.37 NEAR312.37 NEAR312.37 NEAR312.37 NEAR312.37 NEAR
Buyers net result-39.76 NEAR-41.90 NEAR-41.90 NEAR-41.90 NEAR-41.90 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)100%100%100%100%104.3%
Insiders' net result+20.06 NEAR+20.06 NEAR+20.06 NEAR+20.06 NEAR+21.68 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.58x1.58x1.58x1.58x1.58x
Holders31113
Top 10 holders' share100%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 3.1% · 2 of 16 hold 0% · 0 of 16 hold 0% · 0 of 16 hold
Other early buyers 0% · 0 of 3 hold 0% · 0 of 3 hold 0% · 0 of 3 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)3.1% · 19 wallets0% · 19 wallets0% · 19 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)96.9%100%100%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 1 merged100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 19 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 b532e63ee0e12ec…78cd1 31 s · transaction 36.38 NEAR 2.1 min after buying · transaction +3.70 NEAR
group one of 5 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 6 of those launches
pair bought within 6.7 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 39 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 7.3 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.7 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 35 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
2 betteralex.near 32 s · transaction 19.40 NEAR 4.7 min after buying · transaction -2.35 NEAR
group one of 5 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 15 of those launches
pair bought within 1.8 s of gigasnipe.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.4 s of samegrain2799.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of steepgoat5771.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
3 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 32 s · transaction 36.38 NEAR 2.2 min after buying · transaction -3.52 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 60 of those launches
pair bought within 6.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 58 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 6.7 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 56 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 44.1 s of 6cac4e44915931a…b5879 · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 9 more pairs · all pairs
4 steepgoat5771.near 32 s · transaction 19.40 NEAR 2.2 min after buying · transaction +0.70 NEAR
group one of 5 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 13 of those launches
pair bought within 0.6 s of betteralex.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.1 s of gigasnipe.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.8 s of samegrain2799.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
5 gigasnipe.near 33 s · transaction 19.40 NEAR 4.8 min after buying · transaction -4.40 NEAR
group one of 5 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 14 of those launches
pair bought within 0.6 s of samegrain2799.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.8 s of betteralex.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.1 s of steepgoat5771.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
6 samegrain2799.near 34 s · transaction 19.40 NEAR 2.5 min after buying · transaction -3.14 NEAR
group one of 5 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 14 of those launches
pair bought within 0.6 s of gigasnipe.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.4 s of betteralex.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.8 s of steepgoat5771.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
7 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 38 s · transaction 20.21 NEAR 119 s after buying · transaction +0.73 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 63 of those launches
pair bought within 0.6 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 60 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 6.0 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 58 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 6.7 s of b532e63ee0e12ec…78cd1 · 39 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
8 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 38 s · transaction 20.21 NEAR 2.0 min after buying · transaction -2.49 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 77 of those launches
pair bought within 0.6 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 60 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 6.7 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 56 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 37.4 s of 6cac4e44915931a…b5879 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 11 more pairs · all pairs
9 5b9d43abb215de7…4c173 49 s · transaction 24.80 NEAR 2.4 min after buying · transaction -7.32 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 34 of those launches
pair bought within 3.5 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 10.8 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 10.7 s of c964f0a446c4f56…8802e · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 11 more pairs · all pairs
10 peekaby.near 50 s · transaction 10.00 NEAR 115 s after buying · transaction -2.02 NEAR
pair bought within 2.8 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 11.6 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.7 s of 5b9d43abb215de7…4c173 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
11 e8a162641a55288…58210 53 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR 109 s after buying · transaction -0.88 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 145 of those launches
pair bought within 14.3 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 15.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 18 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 21.0 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 18 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 12 more pairs · all pairs
12 c964f0a446c4f56…8802e 60 s · transaction 10.00 NEAR 2.2 min after buying · transaction -3.45 NEAR
pair bought within 10.7 s of 5b9d43abb215de7…4c173 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 21.5 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 7.1 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
13 teend.near 64 s · transaction 15.00 NEAR 96 s after buying · transaction -2.42 NEAR
pair bought within 11.7 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 15.2 s of 5b9d43abb215de7…4c173 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 4.8 s of 13ec39837af5ec9…d1b62 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
14 13ec39837af5ec9…d1b62 69 s · transaction 9.92 NEAR 65 s after buying · transaction -0.09 NEAR
pair bought within 4.8 s of teend.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 6.6 s of 6cac4e44915931a…b5879 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 30.8 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
15 6cac4e44915931a…b5879 76 s · transaction 4.04 NEAR 86 s after buying · transaction -0.87 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 43 of those launches
pair bought within 37.4 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 38.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 44.1 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
16 a80c73a95e8ac09…10529 93 s · transaction 0.99 NEAR 110 s after buying · transaction -0.39 NEAR none found
17 bborofather.near 108 s · transaction 7.00 NEAR 110 s after buying · transaction -2.82 NEAR
pair bought within 55.1 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
18 gusri.near 2.1 min · transaction 19.84 NEAR 47 s after buying · transaction -7.14 NEAR none found
19 6dae7aab94c318e…8ff5d 2.6 min · transaction 15.00 NEAR 10 s after buying · transaction -3.71 NEAR none found
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of 3percentofeverything.near

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-09-29 05:32 UTC nearly.trade hoot-8.nearlytrade.near 25 Low retro undefined history: launch only
2026-09-29 12:30 UTC nearly.trade hoot-10.nearlytrade.near 25 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-29 12:44 UTC nearly.trade arcia.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 18:20 UTC justhoot v1 huut-35fd3d.launchpad.justhoot.near 50 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 21:48 UTC justhoot v1 cashcow-4a4ec9.launchpad.justhoot.near 50 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-02 03:35 UTC nearly.trade chips-3.nearlytrade.near 35 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only