HOOT nearly.trade

hoot-8.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 25 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

+20
Trade tax 2.00% buy / 1.00% sell; after the platform's 20.00% cut the creator gets 80.00% of it (1.600% per buy, 0.800% per sell; creator_bps 10000, platform_bps 2000).
Evidence: launch hoot-8.nearlytrade.near
+5
The name 'hoot' was already used 9.9 h earlier by another creator (hoot-7.nearlytrade.near).
Evidence: launch hoot-7.nearlytrade.near

The largest funder's (meowinwhite.near) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 6 % (797 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Undefined. The insiders sold tokens into the pool, but their sold share does not exist for this launch (they acquired nothing through it), so we cannot say how much of their holding they sold: the outside buyers lost money, but "rug" or "no rug" is not stated. It is not counted in any rate.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold — of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Sold by: 3percentofeverything.near (dev).
Outside buyers' net result: -48.17 NEAR · insiders' net result: +55.27 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 45% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-09-29 05:32:31 UTC · block 217735340 · history: launch only
Transaction	9uaNprG2EbevH…gspXx
Creator	3percentofeverything.near explorer
Pool	hoot-8.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	43.37 NEAR
Tax options	buy 2.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 100.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:44 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-09-30 03:33 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0 · no trade seen in our live data

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Dev's first sell after launch	65 s	65 s	65 s	65 s	65 s
Buyers (other than the insiders)	11	23	43	44	45
Buyers spent	183.29 NEAR	507.76 NEAR	711.77 NEAR	726.67 NEAR	729.67 NEAR
Buyers net result	-3.71 NEAR	+153.83 NEAR	+11.73 NEAR	-24.11 NEAR	-48.17 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Insiders' net result	+52.19 NEAR	+52.19 NEAR	+52.19 NEAR	+52.19 NEAR	+55.27 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.24x	1.83x	2.18x	2.18x	2.18x
Holders	9	24	20	17	10
Top 10 holders' share	100%	75.1%	96.8%	98.3%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	8.8% · 7 of 10 hold	13.5% · 13 of 13 hold	7.5% · 6 of 15 hold
Other early buyers	0.8% · 1 of 2 hold	15.5% · 10 of 10 hold	4.7% · 3 of 15 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	9.5% · 12 wallets	29.0% · 23 wallets	12.1% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	90.5%	71.0%	87.9%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	100%	75.1%	98.3%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	100% · 2 merged	99.5% · 2 merged	99.7% · 2 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	steepgoat5771.near	28 s · transaction	19.40 NEAR	not sold	+3.31 NEAR	group one of 5 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 13 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of gigasnipe.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of betteralex.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of samegrain2799.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
2	gigasnipe.near	28 s · transaction	19.40 NEAR	not sold	+2.52 NEAR	group one of 5 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 14 of those launches pair bought within 0.6 s of betteralex.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of samegrain2799.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of steepgoat5771.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
3	betteralex.near	29 s · transaction	19.40 NEAR	not sold	+1.77 NEAR	group one of 5 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 15 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of samegrain2799.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of gigasnipe.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of steepgoat5771.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
4	samegrain2799.near	29 s · transaction	19.40 NEAR	not sold	+1.06 NEAR	group one of 5 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 14 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of betteralex.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of gigasnipe.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of steepgoat5771.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
5	alola.near	40 s · transaction	1.50 NEAR	not sold	+0.05 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches pair bought within 32.1 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 55 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.0 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 28 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
6	3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735	43 s · transaction	33.77 NEAR	27 s after buying · transaction	+1.11 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 60 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 58 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of b532e63ee0e12ec…78cd1 · 35 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.0 s of alola.near · 28 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
7	03712631d52c0ad…1b110	43 s · transaction	33.77 NEAR	27 s after buying · transaction	+1.38 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 63 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 58 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of b532e63ee0e12ec…78cd1 · 39 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.0 s of alola.near · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
8	b532e63ee0e12ec…78cd1	43 s · transaction	33.77 NEAR	27 s after buying · transaction	+2.30 NEAR	group one of 5 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 6 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 39 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 35 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.0 s of alola.near · 18 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
9	5b9d43abb215de7…4c173	68 s · transaction	23.00 NEAR	50.2 min after buying · transaction	-0.33 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 34 of those launches pair bought within 28.0 s of alola.near · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 4.2 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 24.9 s of b532e63ee0e12ec…78cd1 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
10	e8a162641a55288…58210	72 s · transaction	8.00 NEAR	24.2 min after buying · transaction	+4.11 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 145 of those launches pair bought within 32.1 s of alola.near · 55 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 29.1 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 18 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 29.1 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 18 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
11	50192ca54cdcf2a…1767b	4.7 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	15.2 min after buying · transaction	+6.42 NEAR	none found
12	barrey.near	5.0 min · transaction	4.98 NEAR	14.2 min after buying · transaction	+3.69 NEAR	none found
13	89e35553f4ab019…351b5	5.4 min · transaction	1.00 NEAR	not sold	+0.04 NEAR	none found
14	juancruzfl.near	6.0 min · transaction	21.00 NEAR	18.5 min after buying · transaction	+7.84 NEAR	none found
15	7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8	6.5 min · transaction	12.71 NEAR	18.3 min after buying · transaction	+3.61 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 77 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 6cac4e44915931a…b5879 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.7 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence
16	6cac4e44915931a…b5879	6.5 min · transaction	12.71 NEAR	18.3 min after buying · transaction	+4.08 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 43 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.7 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
17	579b7294974b54d…30203	6.5 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	24.0 min after buying · transaction	+1.14 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 55 of those launches pair bought within 3.7 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.7 s of 6cac4e44915931a…b5879 · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
18	008677ed670160a…a9da6	7.0 min · transaction	60.00 NEAR	25.9 min after buying · transaction	-3.54 NEAR	none found
19	06d0b453165b62b…46b3f	8.4 min · transaction	80.00 NEAR	not sold	-17.64 NEAR	none found
20	farcastmage.near	12.1 min · transaction	39.95 NEAR	14.3 min after buying · transaction	-5.68 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of 3percentofeverything.near

Time	Launchpad	Token	Risk	Outcome	Data
2026-09-29 12:12 UTC	nearly.trade	hoot-9.nearlytrade.near	25 Low retro	rug	history: launch only
2026-09-29 12:30 UTC	nearly.trade	hoot-10.nearlytrade.near	25 Low retro	rug	history: launch only
2026-09-29 12:44 UTC	nearly.trade	arcia.nearlytrade.near	20 Low retro	rug	history: launch only
2026-09-30 18:20 UTC	justhoot v1	huut-35fd3d.launchpad.justhoot.near	50 Elevated retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-09-30 21:48 UTC	justhoot v1	cashcow-4a4ec9.launchpad.justhoot.near	50 Elevated retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-02 03:35 UTC	nearly.trade	chips-3.nearlytrade.near	35 Elevated retro	no rug	history: launch only