POCKETGOTCHI nearly.trade

pocketgotchi.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Risk score: Low 27 / 100 issued 2026-11-12 14:20 UTC · config v2l-1 · rules v1.3

  • +25
    Fresh creator setup (2 of 3): it received 2.97 NEAR 0 min before the launch (largest transfer from aggregatedex.near); the dev buy of 4.00 NEAR is 135% of that funding.
  • +2
    Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 33.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 100, sell_bps 100, creator_bps 3300).

The largest funder's (paper_jambologist3.user.intear.near) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

v2r signals (weights fitted on launch history before the split date), two expert rules whose points are set by hand (a creator name that resembles a notable account; a fresh account funded through Intents or an exchange) and the creator's fee, whose points are an expert rule too: 8 points per 1 % of the trade that goes to the creator, at most 40 (not fitted). The score ranks risk; it is not a probability. Computed from what was known at launch time and frozen: it never changes. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 20 % (251 launches) (as of the card's issue time, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 4.72 NEAR.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
  • Sold by: tiadoyinnn.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-11-12 14:24:27 UTC, 4.0 min after the launch: 7RJhSfT7pX5gZ…GdhV8.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -4.72 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.32 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-13T14:20 UTC with config v2l-1.

Launch

Launched2026-11-12 14:20:24 UTC · block 224225854 · live
Transaction4nccbqqfVG9KL…hLJ8B
Creatortiadoyinnn.near explorer
Poolpocketgotchi.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy4.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 33.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:48 UTC

32 out of 100 · formula ls-2 · the mean of the four parts below · how it is built

Buyers in profit53 8 of 15 outside buyers
Buy pressure0 buys 0.00 NEAR · sells 0.00 NEAR in the last 60 min
Price vs peak76 the last price against the highest price since the launch
Activity0 0 different buyers in the last 60 min (100 from 20)

Facts now

Last trade2026-11-12 15:33 UTC
Price now0.97x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.76x the peak
Outside buyers in profit8 of 15 · 53.3%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0% · 0 of 12 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)100%100%100%100%100%
Dev's first sell after launch4.0 min4.0 min4.0 min4.0 min4.0 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)1515151515
Buyers spent141.91 NEAR142.91 NEAR142.91 NEAR142.91 NEAR142.91 NEAR
Buyers net result-2.81 NEAR-4.09 NEAR-4.09 NEAR-4.72 NEAR-5.71 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)100%100%100%100%100%
Insiders' net result+0.32 NEAR+0.32 NEAR+0.32 NEAR+0.32 NEAR+0.32 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.27x1.27x1.27x1.27x1.27x
Holders42210
Top 10 holders' share100%100%100%100%—

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 1.4% · 3 of 12 hold 0.1% · 1 of 12 hold 0% · 0 of 12 hold
Other early buyers 2.4% · 1 of 3 hold 2.5% · 1 of 3 hold 2.5% · 1 of 3 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)3.8% · 15 wallets2.6% · 15 wallets2.5% · 15 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)96.2%97.4%97.5%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged

The dev sent tokens to other wallets: those are in the "got tokens from the dev" row, not in the dev's own.

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 15 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 wrapz-z.near independent_sniper 3 s · transaction 10.00 NEAR 4.0 min after buying · transaction +0.51 NEAR
2 jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 4 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 3.0 min after buying · transaction +0.08 NEAR
3 b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper 4 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 5.1 min after buying · transaction +0.01 NEAR
4 dolph.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 4 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 3.0 min after buying · transaction +0.08 NEAR
5 trade.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 4 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 3.0 min after buying · transaction +0.07 NEAR
6 yazaplakal.send….near bot_wallet 4 s · transaction 0.50 NEAR 4.0 min after buying · transaction +0.01 NEAR
7 96952333f9d9862…d9f77 27 s · transaction 29.80 NEAR 2.2 min after buying · transaction +4.13 NEAR
8 3ab30e9ce2099d0…c3804 32 s · transaction 29.78 NEAR 2.3 min after buying · transaction +0.53 NEAR
9 3e5f029edb67f02…4bd45 37 s · transaction 5.96 NEAR 2.7 min after buying · transaction -0.36 NEAR
10 748545ba09e20b4…50999 39 s · transaction 2.98 NEAR 2.4 min after buying · transaction -0.15 NEAR
11 alola.near 41 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 30.3 min after buying · transaction -0.14 NEAR
12 3024eac17eb7993…234cc 57 s · transaction 14.90 NEAR 4.8 min after buying · transaction -2.05 NEAR
13 slowtag1642.near 97 s · transaction 32.00 NEAR not sold -5.31 NEAR
14 1070fb609924e73…7cc3b 116 s · transaction 2.09 NEAR 80 s after buying · transaction -0.29 NEAR
15 futureis.user.i….near 2.2 min · transaction 9.90 NEAR 2.5 min after buying · transaction -1.84 NEAR
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of tiadoyinnn.near

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-09-26 18:10 UTC nearly.trade skyto.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-17 18:13 UTC nearly.trade antithesis.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro rug history: launch only
2026-10-19 16:22 UTC justhoot v2 supertilli.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near 10 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-10-19 23:52 UTC nearly.trade hackathon.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-27 19:02 UTC nearly.trade mob.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro rug history: launch only